Friday, April 17, 2020

The Virus Chronicles (continued)

We Need an Industrial Policy

There are two great Republican curses. The first is — “That's socialism.” The second is — “That smacks of industrial policy, picking winners and losers.” There used to be a third, but “LIBERAL” has lost its meaning. The Republican Party, which has had a strong hand in all national policy since 1981, has ensured the United States has no industrial policy, or so it would like you to think. In fact we do have one, it's just a very bad one, unless you're agribusiness, a corn farmer, or any of a handful of favored industries. But as far as a policy that benefits the country and its citizens as a whole, one could say that we have a negative industrial policy, or one that benefits The Peoples Republic of China to our detriment. In the last forty years the American way of lawmaking has gone through a transition. During our last collaborative era, we created environmental and workplace safety laws, to the resistance, rather than in collaboration with industry, then informed industry that they'd better conform. We sent what amounted to OSHA and EPA thugs on surprise inspections (my father's shop experienced them). Our industries moved to better pastures in other countries such as China and Mexico. There they could avoid those pesky laws. That was our industrial policy — drive 'em out to clean up the environment. Corporate leadership doesn't care — they still profit.

The Democratic Party would be no better. Their idea of an industrial policy would be racial balance in the board room. We know this from their legislative initiatives. And one of the great hallmarks of the ill fated Hillary Care initiative, for those silly enough to have read the thing, was mandated racial balance in medical schools. Yipee! When it comes to the good of the country, I'd say their hearts are only halfway up their asses.

The right answer is that the country needs secure supply chains. It should be a lesson learned the hard way.

It's time to for our national leadership to care; our international supply chains are too fragile, and they lead right through our enemy, which has professed a desire to supplant the United States (see The Hundred-Year Marathon by Michael Pillsbury). Our supply chains don't lead through our enemy because he has captured them through stealth. They lead through him because we have put them there just to save money, and in the process we are giving away our intellectual property as well. It is our national sin of self destruction.

Don't let the touchy feely internationalists kid you. The Chinese are not panda bears. They are racists, irredentists, and international criminals. It's time for a change, and the fools currently running the US government don't have the intelligence or the attention span to make that change. I'm not sure that the financiers have the desire. They would rather feed off the dying corpse of their country.

Saturday, April 11, 2020

The Virus Chronicles (continued)

The right wing noise machine says “let us out” and “restore Americans' freedoms.” It began two days ago with tweets by Laura Ingraham, but now it's a coordinated symphony of rage. They are all saying the same thing, in slightly different ways, as if they have a giant conservative staff meeting each morning to ensure they are all on the same sheet of music. There might have been a time when we naive folks thought the noise machine was echoing the opinion of the Donald, but now we know that the President has very little mind beyond what he 'feels'. It is the job of the noise machine to shape his views. From Fox and Friends when he first awakens, through Rush Limbaugh, and on to Mark Levin, then the all important Hannity, whom the President is just as likely to call as not. The noise machine is there to insert the proper ideas into the Presidents mush filled head, then describe the President as brilliant for having spit out its ideas.

“Know your enemy,” we are reminded, and so an aggregation of the President's Twitter feed pops into my email box each morning, and occasionally throughout the day. He thrashes the “lamestream media” for its fake news, citing the TV ratings of his daily news conference as proof that he is superior. It doesn't occur to him that people are shut in, mostly unable to work. Citizens are listening all day to broadcasters who can get paid to work from home while they try to collect from a strapped unemployment system. What the hell else are they going to do, Don, except tune in to find out how close to redemption they are from the National Carnival Barker?

And finally, the scientists recommending that we keep the country buttoned up until “the virus says it's OK to come out” are also still getting paid through all this. I don't mean to be disrespectful of their expertise, but at a certain point, the ordinary citizen will break, and come out of his and her own accord. So a wise government would plan for it instead of shooting for the moon. (see my The Limits of Efficacy in the 6 April entry).

Friday, April 10, 2020

The Virus Chronicles (continued)

The following piece is a column written by my wife, Rabbi Rose Lyn Jacob, for the Culpeper, Virginia Star-Exponent's 1 April Edition

PASSOVER, EASTER, RAMADAN in the Time of Covid-19

It is going to be hard, very hard, to observe the important holidays of the season this year. All three holidays have codified observances, rituals and obligations held sacrosanct by their adherents. Those customs, rituals and family traditions bind us, comfort us, and are a framework for our beliefs. And so, as churches, synagogues and Islamic centers close their doors to slow the spread of the virus, we are left to find creative and meaningful ways to connect with our faith.

What unifies these springtime holidays is that each one reaffirms “membership in the tribe.” Jewish family and friends eat a communal meal, called the Seder, while recounting their “origin story,” the highly ritualized retelling of the story of harsh servitude by the Children of Israel under Pharaoh, and how Moses went before Pharaoh repeatedly to ask that the Israelites be let go to serve their god. It took ten plagues sent by God to convince Pharaoh to “let my people go.” Eventually, God, “with signs and wonders and with an outstretched arm” redeemed His people, split the sea, and, under guidance from Moses left in a hurry for the Promised Land. I have heard so many people bummed out because they can’t be with friends and family for Passover. Many plan to attend “virtually,” being together, but separately, each with a plate of ritual foods and a song sheet in front of their computer screen.

Christians also reaffirm “membership in the tribe,” coming together at Easter to commemorate the Crucifixion and Resurrection of Jesus. The key ritual of the worship service is the Eucharist, or Communion. Partaking of consecrated bread and wine enhances the communion of believers not only with Christ, but also with one another. For some the bread and wine are symbolic. For others, the bread and wine become the body and blood of Christ. While most are resigned to watching their clergy perform the ritual “on-line” I have heard plenty of people complain that they will truly miss the magical feeling they get when receiving communion.

For Muslims, Ramadan, the ninth month of the Muslim year, is a month of prayer, reflection and community, as well as a commemoration of Muhammad’s first revelation. A dawn until sunset fast is observed, and is followed nightly by a festive, communal break-the-fast meal.

All three festivals focus on community and belonging and require a physical presence . All three holidays will take place in April, as Covid-19 cases grow at an exponential rate and deaths are predicted to be in the thousands. At a moment when we crave closeness, we are not quite sure how to proceed without becoming more depressed than we currently are. Technology can only go so far in uniting us. Televised services, emailed sermons and teachings, virtual Communion and on-line workshops about how to conduct a Passover Seder without guests offer some comfort, if only to remind us that we are not alone in our misery.

Sadly, there are some churches which have tossed social responsibility to the wind, and continue to hold services, causing me to wonder if the leaders of these churches are so selfish, self-serving, so egotistical that they put their need for self-aggrandizement and money in the collection plate above the safety and health of their congregants. My heart breaks when I hear interviews with deeply devout people of unquestioning faith determined to put that faith to the test. The greatest way these pastors can serve their flock is to extend love, comfort, and caring while assuring their followers that they have not been abandoned by God or their faith community. What we need is to support each other in other ways, making sure that we act in Godly ways by reaching out to those who have lost their livelihood, ensuring that they have food, shelter, medical care, and a virtual shoulder to lean on.

The corona virus pandemic challenges our faith in God. As each day passes, we are more aware of the fragility of life and we become more thankful for simple things we’d never noticed before. We can only ask so much of God, and try to shoulder some of the burden ourselves. We can ask God to protect us, but that is made easier while wearing masks, goggles and gloves. We can ask God to take us under his sheltering wing, but it is safer to do so while standing six feet apart. We can believe in an all -powerful God, who will save us, but it helps if we can get our government to increase the production of ventilators, because without those ventilators, doctors will be forced to play God, and decide who lives and who dies. We can ask for a miracle, or we can make sure everyone in our household washes their hands in warm water and soap to break down the fatty layer on the virus and kill it. We can scan copies of the Book of Job, and Why Bad Things Happen to Good People and try to figure why the universe is conspiring against us, or we can look at the science behind what is happening and use that knowledge to assure ourselves we are not being punished, nor tested, by any deity.

The next few months will be a whirlwind of chaos, as one after another, our weaknesses are exposed. Our lives will be increasingly difficult, and we have no idea what the world will be like when a vaccine arrives and the pandemic is beaten down. As a nation we have great sadness ahead of us, great economic and social turmoil. To weather the storm, we can turn to God for comfort through meditation and prayer. We can act as God’s agents by finding ways to volunteer, to donate, or just be a comforting and reassuring voice on the phone. And amazing as it may sound, there won’t be a family in America left untouched by this moment in history.

Monday, April 6, 2020

The Limits of Efficacy

Social distancing is the new term we have all learned, but sheltering in place is the activity that is having the greatest effect on society. Social distancing is a pain in the neck when you’re in line at the market. Keeping six feet between each person can make the check out line run halfway to the back of the store if we all follow the rules. But being shut in is a different story. People aren’t just isolated. Too many are now either unemployed or underemployed. Unemployment insurance and the government’s supplement won’t cover the wage gap, nor will whatever federal largess is planned keep most small businesses afloat. Somehow the Boeings and the Raytheons will do just fine. I know keeping the population sheltering in place works, but reality says that after about two months, the population is going to come out. People will be nearly broke, half crazy, and ready to riot. They will know their jobs are gone. Proprietors will know their businesses are finished. We may have rioting or at least excess crime. While that may be a good excuse for the gun control crowd to get to work, it won't be good for the country overall.

We might as well face the fact that we will have to open up the country by the beginning of June, whether it's the best thing to do or not. The people telling us otherwise are scientists with paychecks who understand the epidemiology but not the psychology. The result will be (I assume) infection spread. So, (in the words of Lenin) "what is to be done." The answer is to plan on an industrial scale to the medical fallout for the consequences. I assume this means testing nearly the entire population. It means much more, but our country is no longer the scientific giant it once was. Science means respect for facts, and a significant segment of the population no longer respects facts they don't like.

I think the alternative to my idea is widespread social unrest fueled by both being shut in and incitement by the lunatic media. Just a thought, but sometimes you have to look at more than just the science, and plan ahead for doing something that appears ill advised.

Friday, April 3, 2020

The Virus Chronicles (continued)

03 April 2020

Jared Kushner is a Fool, an Idiot, and a Buffoon

The fact that he is rich is strictly an accident of birth, and of course marriage. After weeks of rumors that son in law Jared was heading a second, off the books, secret anti COVID-19 Task Force, The Boy himself appeared on stage with the President yesterday for what I've come to think of as the Five O'clock Follies, that ever elongating press circus in which President Trump generally insists on hogging center stage as the nation's faux chief epidemiologist.

Apparently Boy Jared, having failed as Middle East Peace Maker (I'm not sure he can be faulted for that, except for having taken on the job at all) is now chief national medical logistician. He and the Vice President insisted that Boy Jared reports everything right to the Vice President, hence his mixed government/industry task force is not a parallel organization to that of the Vice's, and is definitely not a secret. How could it be — The Boy was right out in front of all those reporters.

Our new Chief National Medical Logistician had this to say to those complaining in state governments, and to the ungrateful hospital treatment centers of our country: “The notion of the federal stockpile was it’s supposed to be our stockpile,” he said, “It’s not supposed to be state stockpiles that they then use.” Apparently if the federal government happens to need a bunch of ventilators or masks, it can hop over and get 'em from the stockpile, but don't you states try to get your grubby hands on them. Order yer own! We bought these with our money. Boy Jared is unfamiliar with FDR's analogy of the garden hose from Lend Lease days. If your neighbor's house is afire, and you have a garden hose all hooked up, you don't negotiate a price on the hose, you pick it up and put out the fire, lest it spread to your house as well. Anyway, HHS had stated that the Strategic Stockpile's purpose is to supplement state and local supplies in times of emergency.

It could be that Young Jared was out getting measured for his first silver sippi-cup on the day that Sesame Street aired the sharing episode. More likely, he was just reflexively insisting on the administration's perfection. ('It was a perfect call, a perfect letter, a perfect stockpile, &c.')

In the few minutes since I began writing this very piece, and since Boy Jared's unfortunate encounter with truth, the HHS website has been magically revised to reflect the stockpile's mission as being more in conformance with Kushner's statement. It's a clear 1984-ish revision of the documentation to conform to the desired facts. Technically, this turns Jared Kushner from an idiot to a seer. Kushner also noted that states shouldn't be calling the feds for more ventilators before they need them, simply to stockpile them “just in case.” “Call when you need them,” he advised. Boy Jared may not have learnt at Famous Medical Logistician School that ventilators are a critical care item. By the time you need them, it's too late to go out and procure them. That wrinkle may not have been covered in Pandemics 101.

Thursday, April 2, 2020

The Virus Chronicles (continued),

02 April 2020

Well, well, I here tell the whole US Navy fleet has been ordered to sea in an effort to avoid the plague, er, virus. It did take quite a while. Two or three days ago the USS Theodore Roosevelt, an aircraft carrier staffed with about 5500 sailors, requested a port call and near evacuation to get its Coronavirus problem under control. Apparently that captain lost it. When you're CO of such a strategic asset, you need a unique strength of psyche.

If fortune favors the brave, and innovation is critical to carrying the modern fight, our fully joint qualified warriors dithered for about three weeks too long. I can just see those heavily career conscious flag officers stealing side glances at each other, wondering who will blink first on the one good idea that should be intuitively obvious to the most casual observer — if you send sailors home every night, they are going to mix with a sick population. The yardbirds they see during the day will be an additional sick population. Going to sea is self isolation, eh? By the time ships get back to port, most of the gear will be wrung out, too, and lots of ship handling practice will have been done.

The President's acolytes spent the day praising chloroquinine, the big idea he got from somewhere (he's “a believer, smart guy, &c.”). An acolyte who will go unnamed assured his morning listeners that if the President hadn't pushed this idea thousands would die. The data will prove nothing; President Trump knows how to jump on either side of an issue quick like a bunny. No one can catch Fred Trump's little boy in a lie.

Why Dana Milbank is a Fool

The Washington Post's well know columnist Dana Milbank showed himself a fool today with a column stating that Republicans were warned about the pending dangers of the Coronavirus, yet they persisted in defending the President. By now Milbank should know that Republicans will defend the President to the death, even if he kills several small children in public with his bare hands, then consumes them. Milbank wasted valuable space in one of the nation's major newspapers stating the obvious, instead of saying something important. In so doing, he showed the real nature of the bankruptcy of the mainstream press.

Apparently we will be treated to millions of words stating the obvious for the next several months.

Wednesday, April 1, 2020

Sherlock Self Isolates

The black form arose silently from the floor onto my lap. In spite of her full grown-cat weight, Sherlock's touch was so gentle that I hardly felt her land. She walked back and forth a few times to get her bearings, then began rubbing the top of her head on my leg. Sherlock stopped rubbing, lay down on my lap, and looked up at me, purring and batting those deep green eyes up into mine.

What?” Silence, as she rubbed adoringly against my leg, occasionally glancing sideways at me. She wouldn't talk to me while Rose was in the room. Sherlock can talk, but only to me. She only speaks when we're alone. She rolled halfway over to look at Rose, then back over to me. Sitting up, she rubbed my cheek, then lay down for a rest.

Rose left for the kitchen. The black tail swished, then Sherlock sat up to nuzzle my right cheek. “There's no monitor in here, Gary,” she whispered. “What about a video? The one with the nuthatch and the squirrel.” “I've been at that monitor all day, Sherlock.” “You don't need to sit there with me, Gary. Just start the video. I'll sit in your chair and watch it.” It was a pleading purr. “That never works, Sherlock. Either Emily chases you out, or you lose focus and run off.” “It'll be different this time. You'll see.” “OK,” I said, and off we went to my computer, where all good cat videos were bookmarked. That is what computers are for.